Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 768.996372 871.319654 987.125932 1128.921795 1299.261095 1499.101390 1.753974e+03
2024-11-03 626.038590 763.418570 935.507434 1171.460190 1494.035869 1931.356892 2.590963e+03
2024-11-10 553.640534 703.565525 902.630003 1194.739670 1627.993007 2274.829394 3.374740e+03
2024-11-17 499.659171 656.411162 874.685456 1213.833291 1753.924191 2634.285412 4.314546e+03
2024-11-24 449.254348 605.160142 830.285530 1196.074993 1812.926114 2894.985087 5.180995e+03
2024-12-01 418.171893 576.759585 813.825295 1216.157053 1934.598165 3294.239145 6.501831e+03
2024-12-08 395.964000 558.263910 808.898978 1252.387365 2090.185539 3803.125811 8.352707e+03
2024-12-15 371.931331 533.997633 791.156617 1262.616471 2197.983636 4248.151572 1.034176e+04
2024-12-22 346.323989 504.539870 761.160132 1245.536378 2246.817010 4577.212444 1.224753e+04
2024-12-29 330.404743 489.031845 752.566423 1266.323049 2378.836673 5155.604500 1.551374e+04
2025-01-05 307.015175 459.163655 715.973870 1227.560435 2370.984739 5367.932952 1.762506e+04
2025-01-12 287.916254 434.976508 687.072934 1200.097630 2383.637332 5644.966381 2.036258e+04
2025-01-19 267.000255 407.127315 650.783411 1156.548057 2358.645500 5834.550996 2.315343e+04
2025-01-26 259.110934 401.286337 654.524025 1198.291547 2559.631927 6851.657545 3.270949e+04
2025-02-02 249.878384 392.141248 650.814390 1222.866965 2722.740049 7844.611699 4.520071e+04
2025-02-09 240.843431 382.581008 645.256317 1242.412504 2878.769865 8926.426321 6.317753e+04
2025-02-16 228.577008 366.207753 624.727719 1224.133677 2920.184294 9571.009285 8.019826e+04
2025-02-23 221.320754 358.521806 620.786664 1244.838671 3087.998611 10931.418762 1.185007e+05
2025-03-02 216.151431 354.316463 623.453600 1282.222250 3323.081383 12870.374179 1.963401e+05
2025-03-09 208.911440 345.642198 615.977562 1292.777615 3472.562747 14520.347289 3.097351e+05
2025-03-16 199.831860 332.835898 598.645272 1275.152283 3517.571644 15600.240159 4.458944e+05
2025-03-23 194.563340 327.104818 596.022949 1296.603021 3717.097875 18005.599080 8.605561e+05
2025-03-30 184.916014 312.184865 572.158072 1256.605032 3666.620952 18518.560530 1.176346e+06